CO

Coinbase Global, Inc. - 3 (COIN)

Financial Services • Large-Cap • Below 50-Day SMA
Relative Tension
99 /100

Market Relative Analysis

Performance vs S&P 500 (SPY)

W1

Relative Performance vs SPY (60 Days)

+13.1% 0% -13.1%
Hist. W1 Reversal Rate
-
Current Move
10.32%
Avg T+1 Rel
-

Recent Relative Streaks

Date Pattern T+1 Abs T+1 Rel%
2026-02-05 L13 12.22% 10.32%
2026-01-14 W3 -6.70% -6.97%
2026-01-09 L4 0.91% 0.75%
2026-01-05 W2 -1.73% -2.32%
2025-12-31 L6 4.49% 4.31%

Historical Frequency

Pattern Count Avg T+1 Abs Avg Move During
W7 2 -2.40% 18.16%
W6 2 -6.54% 38.82%
W5 8 -3.27% 21.73%
W4 17 -4.48% 15.30%
W3 30 -3.95% 11.70%
W2 85 -3.77% 7.50%
L2 58 3.53% -6.93%
L3 32 3.66% -9.86%
L4 25 4.59% -12.95%
L5 10 2.81% -21.79%
L6 8 2.57% -16.16%
L7 6 3.05% -18.49%
L8 0 - -
L9 1 5.09% -32.14%
L10 0 - -
L11 0 - -
L12 0 - -
L13 1 12.22% -48.05%

Absolute Price Analysis

Raw Price Action

W1

Daily Price Change (60 Days)

+14.3% 0% -14.3%
Hist. W1 Reversal Rate
-
Current Move
12.22%
Avg T+1 Abs
-

Recent Absolute Streaks

Date Pattern T+1 Abs T+1 Rel%
2026-02-05 L13 12.22% 10.32%
2026-01-14 W3 -6.70% -6.97%
2026-01-09 L4 0.91% 0.75%
2026-01-05 W2 -1.73% -2.32%
2025-12-31 L6 4.49% 4.31%

Historical Frequency

Pattern Count Avg T+1 Abs Avg Move During
W7 4 -3.41% 37.62%
W6 5 -3.81% 22.20%
W5 8 -4.76% 23.62%
W4 12 -4.84% 18.57%
W3 28 -4.11% 13.07%
W2 90 -3.58% 8.35%
L2 61 3.59% -7.10%
L3 31 3.47% -10.65%
L4 24 3.65% -14.97%
L5 7 4.06% -27.23%
L6 8 2.67% -21.54%
L7 7 2.74% -22.59%
L8 1 2.82% -18.47%
L9 1 5.09% -36.09%
L10 0 - -
L11 0 - -
L12 0 - -
L13 1 12.22% -50.10%

Deep Dive Metrics

Distribution & Edge
Win rates, expected returns, and tail stats for the current pattern.
Conditional Stats
How regimes (SMA, SPY, Vol) impact reversal probabilities.
Volatility & Range
ATR trends and expected next-day volatility profiles.
Mean Reversion
Extension from moving averages and reversion likelihood.
View All Metrics

Methodology & Insights for COIN

Analyzing Relative Performance

StockStreaks focuses primarily on Relative Strength. Currently, Coinbase Global, Inc. - 3 is showing a W1 Relative Streak. This means that for the last 1 consecutive trading sessions, the stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index. During this specific streak, the stock has moved approximately 10.32% relative to the market benchmark.

Absolute Price Action

On a raw price basis, COIN is on a W1 Absolute Streak, meaning it has closed green (higher) for 1 days in a row. While relative performance isolates stock-specific behavior, this absolute streak reflects the raw capital appreciation (or depreciation) experienced by holders, totaling 12.22% during this period.

Tension Score & Mean Reversion Potential

Currently, COIN is registering a Tension Score of 99/100, which is considered Extreme. This proprietary metric indicates that the recent move is statistically stretched, deviating significantly relative to its historical volatility profile.

Metric Definitions

  • Historical Reversal Rate: The percentage of time in the past that a streak of this specific type and length ended (reversed) on the very next day. This is an unconditional historical frequency.
  • T+1 Return: The percentage return of the asset on the next trading day (T+1) following the streak event. This is the primary outcome metric used to evaluate predictive edge.
  • Streak Pattern (e.g., L3, W5): "L" denotes a Losing streak (underperforming SPY or closing Red), "W" denotes a Winning streak. The number indicates consecutive days.
  • Relative Return: The stock's return minus the SPY's return for the same period. If COIN is +1% and SPY is +2%, the Relative Return is -1%.
  • Absolute Return: The raw price change of the asset. If COIN is +1%, the Absolute Return is +1%.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated automatically based on historical price data. It does not constitute financial advice. "Win Rates" are based on past performance of similar technical setups for this specific asset and do not guarantee future results.